{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3YGH3VHJ34",
  "slug": "zambia-presidential-election-1st-round-turnout-20260604214258491",
  "question": "Will the turnout in the first round of the Zambia Presidential Election exceed 50%?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "zambia",
    "voter-turnout",
    "2026",
    "africa"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These five Polymarket markets collectively track first-round voter turnout in the 2026 Zambian presidential election across exhaustive, mutually exclusive bands. The bands span sub-50%, 50-60%, 60-70%, 70-80%, and 80-plus percent, together covering the full turnout distribution. The authoritative source is the Electoral Commission of Zambia's official reported rate. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol, with all markets closing August 14, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZYJQNM6CD5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.33,
    "implied_probability": 0.33
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9ZP34SXZL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3YGH3VHJ34",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfd96c645c310f5c79116754ceefd478de9b9329edab525bef3676312f0ed0262",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<50%: The Zambian electoral commission's official voter turnout rate for the first round presidential election, reported by March 31, 2027, resolves this market to the applicable turnout bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.elections.org.zm/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "elections.org.zm",
            "url": "https://www.elections.org.zm/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Zambian government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Electoral Commission of Zambia",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Electoral Commission of Zambia",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 69,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.11,
      "volume_total_usd": 3545.9487160000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "turnout",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3YGH3VHJ34",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x990819c3b5976f1b495627c429b1754f27dd14879b974e4c6905d73138f4ecb3",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50-60%: The Zambian electoral commission's official voter turnout rate for the first round presidential election, reported by March 31, 2027, resolves this market to the applicable turnout bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.elections.org.zm/",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 69,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 196.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 3918.2075579999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "turnout",
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        "zambia presidential election"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3YGH3VHJ34",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0455572bf669d91c9d99a1f728568725901f1795483daf9ccb6203db6ec80a08",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-70%: The Zambian electoral commission's official voter turnout rate for the first round presidential election, reported by March 31, 2027, resolves this market to the applicable turnout bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.elections.org.zm/",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "Electoral Commission of Zambia",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Electoral Commission of Zambia",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "grade": "B",
        "score": 69,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 422.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 6005.733388999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "turnout",
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        "zambia presidential election"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4XXCGZMXX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3YGH3VHJ34",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fb404217627de80bb67d961276dd21db3b881b3584d047bae34cba2071a9532",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "70-80%: The Zambian electoral commission's official voter turnout rate for the first round presidential election, reported by March 31, 2027, resolves this market to the applicable turnout bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.elections.org.zm/",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "Electoral Commission of Zambia",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 1270.4286330000002,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3YGH3VHJ34",
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      "question": "Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80%+: The Zambian electoral commission's official voter turnout rate for the first round presidential election, reported by March 31, 2027, resolves this market to the applicable turnout bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.elections.org.zm/",
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            "name": "elections.org.zm",
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            "name": "Electoral Commission of Zambia",
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        "score": 69,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.05,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "turnout",
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        "zambia presidential election"
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