{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
  "slug": "zelenskyy-of-tweets-july-31-august-7-2026",
  "question": "Will Zelenskyy post more than # times between July 31 and August 7, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "social-media-activity",
    "ukraine",
    "2026",
    "quantitative-metric",
    "weekly-window"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Zelenskyy's total X post count from July 31 to August 7, 2026. Eleven mutually exclusive Polymarket tiers span 0-19 posts through 200-plus, collectively covering the full distribution. All eleven resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against counts recorded by xtracker.polymarket.com. The market resolved on August 3, 2026, prior to the nominal close date of August 7, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LP0F8Z6N06",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.43,
    "implied_probability": 0.43
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3LZN4WN0F5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc195c43b56d766b4ad06008378ac824bf2c8e6f1f2c43d9e4e2602cbf3d5f0c9",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-03T16:23:14Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 813.399332,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9N9DL4SV68",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7eba92180b5f9441b7d2d17c3120e5eab7b192d2aa6a3c13f890ceeea77f52d6",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.145,
      "implied_probability": 0.145,
      "volume_24h_usd": 310.142,
      "volume_total_usd": 603.685,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKWXV3TSY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc5333030abfbc89e0b59fba1799a4aff7aeab35322d014b83a8ebd60c88288f9",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.109,
      "implied_probability": 0.109,
      "volume_24h_usd": 58.018328,
      "volume_total_usd": 1008.546947,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LP0F8Z6N06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x569a277965f381e01b17f3ea3c814bac3650e343cd821bfb9c9c68761a2a6879",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1273.087154,
      "volume_total_usd": 7048.978993,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DCY9627SF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf0e626e34290cd5d9d73fa8ef030ada9a9e3fe0720adcf6b2accd3f79685743a",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.41,
      "implied_probability": 0.41,
      "volume_24h_usd": 732.334726,
      "volume_total_usd": 2476.1387300000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8KSHLWQ0W8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x36b8e969014c9b9b6074fb597df2d21dc70b5953c60d0d978d25ca917acea85d",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.131,
      "implied_probability": 0.131,
      "volume_24h_usd": 114.995639,
      "volume_total_usd": 615.078639,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WY39MK82N4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbb3ff7a74d9e4e5be66112b34ebd6280345a087eb5f81eb0b2444a945e975d7e",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.002,
      "volume_total_usd": 418.405,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 120,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1T1KZL2N93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x45267e52e2ecfdbb39db5178b64b639ca4561bc3987d04b3e40aa9210e1208a7",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.003,
      "volume_total_usd": 349.70599999999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 140,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GPN8F30YP9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb215b869f5d3162582eb98cc3554bff68d39821eaa24bac3148ef5abb75650b0",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "160-179: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.001,
      "volume_total_usd": 309.70399999999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 160,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F74MG0DWX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe9181e6f5e3f173fafdc033b74f7d1911ea2014aa62df4110eb4989a9336ba6f",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13.672,
      "volume_total_usd": 337.37499999999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 180,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CJD5H7BLG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb270e5193b85f03a21ab732b31be9ae28e323ef32a0e62c1633d51b9fb3b25ab",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "200+: The Post Counter tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com will record main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from the referenced account between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 505.7,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "social-media",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3LZN4WN0F5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-03T16:23:14Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5WMDR29VJ9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}