{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5RGMB3TYX6",
  "slug": "zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-by-january-31-2026",
  "question": "Will Zelenskyy be out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "ukraine",
    "leadership-change",
    "2026",
    "eastern-europe"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy vacates the Ukrainian presidency before June 30, 2026. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official Ukrainian government statements and credible news consensus. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Wartime succession rules and martial law complicate any standard constitutional removal scenario.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BJDN3B8L30",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BJDN3B8L30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5RGMB3TYX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc4c5d3fa06ad4df64a719c8f28a088dd965c2c0c46477f4edcd1ba138c7a8b81",
      "question": "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian government, supplemented by credible news consensus, determine whether Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 409.35749699999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 365636.43481199915,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "political",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy",
        "zelenskyy ukraine presidency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BJDN3B8L30",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5RGMB3TYX6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}